The weekly read · September 14, 2026

The weekly picks.
Show the receipts.

Game forecasts, player props and the return on a $100 stake. Exact observed selections stay visible, with unverified results clearly marked.

Actual-pick win rateUnverified

Game picks + player props

Last week · $100 per pickUnverified

Total net return needs the original pick list

Current dated outlook40 + 10

Game lines + MLB prop observations

Correction: the previously highlighted 65–8 (89.04%) was reconstructed ESPN forecast accuracy, not our actual posted-pick record. The archived betting decisions were PASS, but PASS research cards can still appear on the site. Last week’s actual-pick win rate and profit remain unverified. Player props are included in the review below.

September 7–13 · All requested markets

If each pick had a $100 stake.

Betting win rate: not established. Net profit: unverified. The original published selection set has not been established. Missing records are not counted as $0 or treated as losses.

Player-prop archive gap: the live database check found 0 saved pregame prop decisions and 0 prop quotes for events starting last week. This records missing coverage, not a claim that no props were displayed.

Last week’s actual-pick reconciliation
Market	Original pick count	Win rate	$100 each · net
Moneyline	Unverified	Unverified	Unverified
Spreads	Unverified	Unverified	Unverified
Totals	Unverified	Unverified	Unverified
Player props	Unverified	Unverified	Unverified

Total staked: unverified · Gross returned: unverified · Net profit: unverified · ROI: unverified.

To settle each entry, the record must identify its publication time, player or team, market, selected side, line, quoted odds, final result and push/void rule. A record of every available market does not establish which cards were published.

How the $100 calculation works

Risk $100 on each verified single. A win at +A profits $100 × A / 100; a win at −A profits $100 × 100 / A. A loss costs $100. Pushes and voids return the stake. ROI is net profit divided by total stakes on the verified, settled selection set (including returned push/void stakes). Pending or unmatched picks are reported separately; incomplete membership leaves the portfolio result unverified.

Example: $100 risked at +180 returns $280 on a win, a $180 profit. At −185 it returns $154.05, a $54.05 profit. These examples explain the arithmetic and are not last week’s results.

September 14–20 · Dated game boards

Game lines. A $100 stake on each.

40 observed selections: 10 moneylines, 24 spreads and 6 totals. Each shows its original side, exact quoted price and individual winning return. These are research observations; results remain ungraded.

Open current prices ↗

A win returns the stake plus profit. A loss costs $100; a push or void returns $100. 50 dated game and prop selections × $100 = $5,000.00 in hypothetical stakes. Gross return, net profit and ROI remain ungraded. The quoted scenarios are not expected profit. These dated samples do not cover every game during the week. NFL: 10 weekly game lines · NCAAF: 10 weekly game lines · MLB: 10 weekly game lines · NBA: 0 weekly game lines · NCAAB: 0 weekly game lines · NHL: 0 weekly game lines · WNBA: 10 weekly game lines. Simulated NBA matchups and events outside this week are excluded.

NFL · Sep 17, 8:15 PM EDT

Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills

Spread · game

Recorded spreadDetroit Lions +4.5 · -110BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 1. Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills: Detroit Lions +4.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 52.4% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

nfl:2026-09-18:detroit-lions:buffalo-bills
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:4.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NFL · Sep 20, 1:01 PM EDT

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

Spread · game

Recorded spreadCarolina Panthers -1.5 · -108BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$92.59
$192.59 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 2. Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons: Carolina Panthers -1.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 51.9% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

nfl:2026-09-20:carolina-panthers:atlanta-falcons
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:-1.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NFL · Sep 20, 1:01 PM EDT

Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans

Spread · game

Recorded spreadCincinnati Bengals +3 · -112BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$89.29
$189.29 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 3. Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans: Cincinnati Bengals +3 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 52.8% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

nfl:2026-09-20:cincinnati-bengals:houston-texans
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:3

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NFL · Sep 20, 1:01 PM EDT

Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Spread · game

Recorded spreadCleveland Browns +8.5 · -110BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 4. Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Cleveland Browns +8.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 52.4% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

nfl:2026-09-20:cleveland-browns:tampa-bay-buccaneers
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:8.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NFL · Sep 20, 1:01 PM EDT

Green Bay Packers at New York Jets

Spread · game

Recorded spreadGreen Bay Packers -3.5 · -110BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 5. Green Bay Packers at New York Jets: Green Bay Packers -3.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 52.4% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

nfl:2026-09-20:green-bay-packers:new-york-jets
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:-3.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NFL · Sep 20, 1:01 PM EDT

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

Spread · game

Recorded spreadMinnesota Vikings +5.5 · -108BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$92.59
$192.59 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 6. Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: Minnesota Vikings +5.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 51.9% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

nfl:2026-09-20:minnesota-vikings:chicago-bears
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:5.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NFL · Sep 20, 1:01 PM EDT

New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens

Spread · game

Recorded spreadNew Orleans Saints +8.5 · -110BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 7. New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens: New Orleans Saints +8.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 52.4% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

nfl:2026-09-20:new-orleans-saints:baltimore-ravens
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:8.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NFL · Sep 20, 1:01 PM EDT

Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

Spread · game

Recorded spreadPhiladelphia Eagles -7 · -110BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 8. Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans: Philadelphia Eagles -7 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 52.4% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

nfl:2026-09-20:philadelphia-eagles:tennessee-titans
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:-7

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NFL · Sep 20, 4:06 PM EDT

Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos

Spread · game

Recorded spreadJacksonville Jaguars +2.5 · -102BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$98.04
$198.04 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 9. Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos: Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 50.5% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

nfl:2026-09-20:jacksonville-jaguars:denver-broncos
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:2.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NFL · Sep 20, 4:06 PM EDT

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

Moneyline · game

Recorded moneylineLas Vegas Raiders · +275FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$275.00
$375.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 10. Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers: Las Vegas Raiders is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 26.7% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

nfl:2026-09-20:las-vegas-raiders:los-angeles-chargers
moneyline:winner:game:game
Selection: away:na

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NCAAF · Sep 19, 12:00 PM EDT

Arizona State Sun Devils at Kansas Jayhawks

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadKansas Jayhawks +5.5 · -110FanDuel · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 1. Kansas Jayhawks +5.5 ranks from ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor with projected margin -1.2 at a 52.4% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

ncaaf:2026-09-19:arizona-state-sun-devils:kansas-jayhawks
spread:points:game:game
Selection: home:5.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NCAAF · Sep 19, 4:15 PM EDT

Mississippi State Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadSouth Carolina Gamecocks -4 · -105DraftKings · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$95.24
$195.24 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 2. South Carolina Gamecocks -4 ranks from ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor with projected margin +5.1 at a 51.2% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

ncaaf:2026-09-19:mississippi-state-bulldogs:south-carolina-gamecocks
spread:points:game:game
Selection: home:-4

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NCAAF · Sep 19, 6:00 PM EDT

East Carolina Pirates at Old Dominion Monarchs

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadEast Carolina Pirates +3 · -110BetMGM · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 3. East Carolina Pirates +3 ranks from ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor with projected margin +0.9 at a 52.4% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

ncaaf:2026-09-19:east-carolina-pirates:old-dominion-monarchs
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:3

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NCAAF · Sep 19, 7:00 PM EDT

Georgia Southern Eagles at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadGeorgia Southern Eagles +3.5 · -112BetMGM · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$89.29
$189.29 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 4. Georgia Southern Eagles +3.5 ranks from ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor with projected margin -0.9 at a 52.8% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

ncaaf:2026-09-19:georgia-southern-eagles:jacksonville-state-gamecocks
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:3.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NCAAF · Sep 19, 7:00 PM EDT

Nevada Wolf Pack at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadNevada Wolf Pack -3.5 · -110FanDuel · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 5. Nevada Wolf Pack -3.5 ranks from ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor with projected margin +6.8 at a 52.4% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

ncaaf:2026-09-19:nevada-wolf-pack:middle-tennessee-blue-raiders
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:-3.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NCAAF · Sep 19, 7:00 PM EDT

UConn Huskies at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Moneyline · game

Recorded moneylineSouthern Miss Golden Eagles · +135BetMGM · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$135.00
$235.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 6. Southern Miss Golden Eagles ranks from ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor with projected margin +7.0 at a 42.6% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

ncaaf:2026-09-19:uconn-huskies:southern-miss-golden-eagles
moneyline:winner:game:game
Selection: home:na

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NCAAF · Sep 19, 7:30 PM EDT

BYU Cougars at Colorado State Rams

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadBYU Cougars -17.5 · -115DraftKings · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$86.96
$186.96 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 7. BYU Cougars -17.5 ranks from ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor with projected margin +19.6 at a 53.5% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

ncaaf:2026-09-19:byu-cougars:colorado-state-rams
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:-17.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NCAAF · Sep 19, 7:30 PM EDT

LSU Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadLSU Tigers -3 · -108BetMGM · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$92.59
$192.59 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 8. LSU Tigers -3 ranks from ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor with projected margin +5.3 at a 51.9% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

ncaaf:2026-09-19:lsu-tigers:ole-miss-rebels
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:-3

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NCAAF · Sep 19, 7:30 PM EDT

Virginia Tech Hokies at Maryland Terrapins

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadMaryland Terrapins +3 · -110BetMGM · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 9. Maryland Terrapins +3 ranks from ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor with projected margin -2.9 at a 52.4% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

ncaaf:2026-09-19:virginia-tech-hokies:maryland-terrapins
spread:points:game:game
Selection: home:3

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

NCAAF · Sep 19, 7:30 PM EDT

West Virginia Mountaineers at Virginia Cavaliers

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadVirginia Cavaliers -10 · -108BetMGM · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$92.59
$192.59 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 10. Virginia Cavaliers -10 ranks from ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor with projected margin +14.2 at a 51.9% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

ncaaf:2026-09-19:west-virginia-mountaineers:virginia-cavaliers
spread:points:game:game
Selection: home:-10

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 9:40 PM EDT

Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadArizona Diamondbacks -1.5 · +162FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$162.00
$262.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 1. Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 ranks because FanDuel has the best exact price and requires 38.2% break-even versus 37.5% other-book no-vig consensus; conservative price advantage -1.9%. The execution book is excluded from the comparison.

mlb:2026-09-15:miami-marlins:arizona-diamondbacks
spread:points:game:game
Selection: home:-1.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

MLB · Sep 15, 6:46 PM EDT

Philadelphia Phillies (C Sanchez) at Washington Nationals (J Kent)

Moneyline · game

Recorded moneylinePhiladelphia Phillies (C Sanchez) · -215FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$46.51
$146.51 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 2. Philadelphia Phillies (C Sanchez) at Washington Nationals (J Kent): Philadelphia Phillies (C Sanchez) is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 68.3% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-15:philadelphia-phillies-c-sanchez:washington-nationals-j-kent
moneyline:winner:game:game
Selection: away:na

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 9:38 PM EDT

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels

Moneyline · game

Recorded moneylineLos Angeles Angels · -106FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$94.34
$194.34 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 3. Los Angeles Angels ranks because FanDuel has the best exact price and requires 51.5% break-even versus 50.0% other-book no-vig consensus; conservative price advantage -2.8%. The execution book is excluded from the comparison.

mlb:2026-09-15:seattle-mariners:los-angeles-angels
moneyline:winner:game:game
Selection: home:na

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

MLB · Sep 15, 7:41 PM EDT

Atlanta Braves (M Perez) at Chicago Cubs (K Gausman)

Moneyline · game

Recorded moneylineAtlanta Braves (M Perez) · +116FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$116.00
$216.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 4. Atlanta Braves (M Perez) at Chicago Cubs (K Gausman): Atlanta Braves (M Perez) is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 46.3% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-15:atlanta-braves-m-perez:chicago-cubs-k-gausman
moneyline:winner:game:game
Selection: away:na

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

MLB · Sep 15, 6:41 PM EDT

Milwaukee Brewers (J Misiorowski) at Pittsburgh Pirates (L Bachar)

Moneyline · game

Recorded moneylineMilwaukee Brewers (J Misiorowski) · -250FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$40.00
$140.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 5. Milwaukee Brewers (J Misiorowski) at Pittsburgh Pirates (L Bachar): Milwaukee Brewers (J Misiorowski) is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 71.4% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-15:milwaukee-brewers-j-misiorowski:pittsburgh-pirates-l-bachar
moneyline:winner:game:game
Selection: away:na

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

MLB · Sep 15, 6:41 PM EDT

Athletics (J Perkins) at Tampa Bay Rays (G Jax)

Moneyline · game

Recorded moneylineAthletics (J Perkins) · +188FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$188.00
$288.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 6. Athletics (J Perkins) at Tampa Bay Rays (G Jax): Athletics (J Perkins) is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 34.7% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-15:athletics-j-perkins:tampa-bay-rays-g-jax
moneyline:winner:game:game
Selection: away:na

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

MLB · Sep 15, 6:41 PM EDT

Los Angeles Dodgers (Y Yamamoto) at Cincinnati Reds (R Lowder)

Moneyline · game

Recorded moneylineLos Angeles Dodgers (Y Yamamoto) · -220FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$45.45
$145.45 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 7. Los Angeles Dodgers (Y Yamamoto) at Cincinnati Reds (R Lowder): Los Angeles Dodgers (Y Yamamoto) is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 68.8% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-15:los-angeles-dodgers-y-yamamoto:cincinnati-reds-r-lowder
moneyline:winner:game:game
Selection: away:na

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 8:40 PM EDT

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies

Game total · game

Recorded totalOVER 11 · -119DraftKings · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$84.03
$184.03 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 8. San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies: over 11 is the primary non-alternate line at DraftKings and requires 54.3% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-15:san-diego-padres:colorado-rockies
total:points:game:game
Selection: over:11

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

MLB · Sep 15, 6:41 PM EDT

Chicago White Sox (D Martin) at Cleveland Guardians (F Griffin)

Moneyline · game

Recorded moneylineChicago White Sox (D Martin) · +108FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$108.00
$208.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 9. Chicago White Sox (D Martin) at Cleveland Guardians (F Griffin): Chicago White Sox (D Martin) is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 48.1% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-15:chicago-white-sox-d-martin:cleveland-guardians-f-griffin
moneyline:winner:game:game
Selection: away:na

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

MLB · Sep 15, 7:11 PM EDT

Baltimore Orioles (S Baz) at New York Mets (S Manaea)

Moneyline · game

Recorded moneylineBaltimore Orioles (S Baz) · +110FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$110.00
$210.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:56 PM EDT; board rank 10. Baltimore Orioles (S Baz) at New York Mets (S Manaea): Baltimore Orioles (S Baz) is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 47.6% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-15:baltimore-orioles-s-baz:new-york-mets-s-manaea
moneyline:winner:game:game
Selection: away:na

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

WNBA · Sep 17, 8:00 PM EDT

Washington Mystics at Chicago Sky

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadWashington Mystics -3.5 · -108FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$92.59
$192.59 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT; board rank 1. Washington Mystics at Chicago Sky: Washington Mystics -3.5 is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 51.9% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

wnba:2026-09-18:washington-mystics:chicago-sky
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:-3.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

WNBA · Sep 17, 10:00 PM EDT

Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadLas Vegas Aces -9.5 · -105FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$95.24
$195.24 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT; board rank 2. Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm: Las Vegas Aces -9.5 is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 51.2% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

wnba:2026-09-18:las-vegas-aces:seattle-storm
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:-9.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

WNBA · Sep 17, 10:00 PM EDT

Phoenix Mercury at Portland Fire

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadPhoenix Mercury -1.5 · -106FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$94.34
$194.34 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT; board rank 3. Phoenix Mercury at Portland Fire: Phoenix Mercury -1.5 is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 51.5% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

wnba:2026-09-18:phoenix-mercury:portland-fire
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:-1.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

WNBA · Sep 17, 8:00 PM EDT

Los Angeles Sparks at Dallas Wings

Game total · game

Recorded totalOVER 175.5 · -112DraftKings · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$89.29
$189.29 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT; board rank 4. Los Angeles Sparks at Dallas Wings: over 175.5 is the primary non-alternate line at DraftKings and requires 52.8% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

wnba:2026-09-18:los-angeles-sparks:dallas-wings
total:points:game:game
Selection: over:175.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

WNBA · Sep 18, 7:30 PM EDT

Indiana Fever at Toronto Tempo

Total Points · game

Recorded totalOVER 189.5 · -110FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT; board rank 5. Indiana Fever at Toronto Tempo: over 189.5 is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 52.4% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

wnba:2026-09-18:indiana-fever:toronto-tempo
total:points:game:game
Selection: over:189.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

WNBA · Sep 18, 7:30 PM EDT

New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx

Spread Betting · game

Recorded spreadNew York Liberty +7.5 · -115FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$86.96
$186.96 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT; board rank 6. New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx: New York Liberty +7.5 is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 53.5% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

wnba:2026-09-18:new-york-liberty:minnesota-lynx
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:7.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

WNBA · Sep 18, 10:00 PM EDT

Portland Fire at Golden State Valkyries

Total Points · game

Recorded totalOVER 160.5 · -110FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT; board rank 7. Portland Fire at Golden State Valkyries: over 160.5 is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 52.4% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

wnba:2026-09-19:portland-fire:golden-state-valkyries
total:points:game:game
Selection: over:160.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

WNBA · Sep 17, 7:30 PM EDT

Connecticut Sun at Atlanta Dream

Point spread · game

Recorded spreadConnecticut Sun +14.5 · -105FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$95.24
$195.24 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT; board rank 8. Connecticut Sun at Atlanta Dream: Connecticut Sun +14.5 is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 51.2% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

wnba:2026-09-17:connecticut-sun:atlanta-dream
spread:points:game:game
Selection: away:14.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

WNBA · Sep 17, 8:00 PM EDT

Washington Mystics at Chicago Sky

Game total · game

Recorded totalOVER 167.5 · -108FanDuel · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$92.59
$192.59 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT; board rank 9. Washington Mystics at Chicago Sky: over 167.5 is the primary non-alternate line at FanDuel and requires 51.9% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

wnba:2026-09-18:washington-mystics:chicago-sky
total:points:game:game
Selection: over:167.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

WNBA · Sep 17, 10:00 PM EDT

Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm

Game total · game

Recorded totalOVER 173.5 · -110DraftKings · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$90.91
$190.91 returned
If loss: −$100

Original selection and ranking receipt

Snapshot Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT. Ranked Sep 14, 7:57 PM EDT; board rank 10. Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm: over 173.5 is the primary non-alternate line at DraftKings and requires 52.4% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 2 books currently carry the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

wnba:2026-09-18:las-vegas-aces:seattle-storm
total:points:game:game
Selection: over:173.5

Current game-board API ↗ · Frozen selection record ↗

September 14–20 · Dated board observations

Player props, exact sides and prices.

10 MLB player-prop observations captured Sep 14, 7:27 PM EDT. These are the selections returned by the live board, all recorded PASS. Their results are ungraded; conditional payouts show what a $100 stake returns only if that selection wins.

Open current board ↗

This is a snapshot, not the full week’s pick count. NFL returned one season-long prop, excluded from this week’s game props. NCAAF returned no player-prop cards at the capture time. Other league boards are outside this snapshot. None of these observations is added to last week’s result.

MLB · Sep 14, 7:40 PM EDT

Sean Murphy

Sean Murphy - Player singles · Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

Recorded selectionUNDER 0.5 · -185BetMGM · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$54.05
$154.05 returned
If loss: −$100

Selection receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:27 PM EDT. Sean Murphy cleared under 0.5 in 14/24 decided 2026 games (58.3%). Recent exact-line results are 6/10 over the last 10 and 4/5 over the last 5. The 2022-2026 exact-line baseline is 285/446 (63.9%), with a 95% Wilson range of 59.3%-68.2%. The conservative Wilson lower bound does not clear the 64.9% break-even probability at -185. Current context — supports: availability, starting-role, weather, opponent-history; risks: workload; context: matchup, venue; missing: none. under 0.5 ranks from BL five-season MLB evidence at a 64.9% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

mlb:2026-09-14:atlanta-braves:chicago-cubs
player-prop:sean-murphy-player-singles:game:sean-murphy
Selection: under:0.5

Source 1 ↗ · Source 2 ↗ · Source 3 ↗ · Source 4 ↗ · Source 5 ↗ · Source 6 ↗ · Current board API ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 7:40 PM EDT

Michael Conforto

Michael Conforto - Player singles · Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

Recorded selectionOVER 0.5 · +180BetMGM · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$180.00
$280.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Selection receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:27 PM EDT. Michael Conforto cleared over 0.5 in 24/103 decided 2026 games (23.3%). Recent exact-line results are 4/10 over the last 10 and 1/5 over the last 5. The 2022-2026 exact-line baseline is 162/496 (32.7%), with a 95% Wilson range of 28.7%-36.9%. The conservative Wilson lower bound does not clear the 35.7% break-even probability at +180. Current context — supports: availability, starting-role, weather, workload; risks: matchup, opponent-history; context: venue; missing: none. over 0.5 ranks from BL five-season MLB evidence at a 35.7% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

mlb:2026-09-14:atlanta-braves:chicago-cubs
player-prop:michael-conforto-player-singles:game:michael-conforto
Selection: over:0.5

Source 1 ↗ · Source 2 ↗ · Source 3 ↗ · Source 4 ↗ · Source 5 ↗ · Source 6 ↗ · Current board API ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 7:40 PM EDT

David Peterson

David Peterson - Hits Allowed · Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

Recorded selectionOVER 5.5 · +125BetMGM · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$125.00
$225.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Selection receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:27 PM EDT. David Peterson cleared over 5.5 in 11/20 decided 2026 starts (55.0%). Recent exact-line results are 5/10 over the last 10 and 4/5 over the last 5. The 2022-2026 exact-line baseline is 47/111 (42.3%), with a 95% Wilson range of 33.6%-51.6%. The conservative Wilson lower bound does not clear the 44.4% break-even probability at +125. Current context — supports: availability, starting-role, weather, workload; risks: opponent-history; context: matchup, venue; missing: none. over 5.5 ranks from BL five-season MLB evidence at a 44.4% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

mlb:2026-09-14:atlanta-braves:chicago-cubs
player-prop:david-peterson-hits-allowed:game:david-peterson
Selection: over:5.5

Source 1 ↗ · Source 2 ↗ · Source 3 ↗ · Source 4 ↗ · Source 5 ↗ · Source 6 ↗ · Current board API ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 7:40 PM EDT

Reynaldo Lopez

Reynaldo Lopez - Hits Allowed · Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

Recorded selectionUNDER 4.5 · -125BetMGM · evidence-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$80.00
$180.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Selection receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:27 PM EDT. Reynaldo López cleared under 4.5 in 6/12 decided 2026 starts (50.0%). Recent exact-line results are 4/10 over the last 10 and 1/5 over the last 5. The 2022-2026 exact-line baseline is 22/39 (56.4%), with a 95% Wilson range of 41.0%-70.7%. The conservative Wilson lower bound does not clear the 55.6% break-even probability at -125. Current context — supports: none; risks: none; context: none; missing: availability, starting-role, matchup, venue, weather, opponent-history, workload. under 4.5 ranks from BL five-season MLB evidence at a 55.6% break-even. The research exists, but its wagering activation gate is not calibrated.

mlb:2026-09-14:atlanta-braves:chicago-cubs
player-prop:reynaldo-lopez-hits-allowed:game:reynaldo-lopez
Selection: under:4.5

· Current board API ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 7:40 PM EDT

Alex Bregman

Alex Bregman - Player doubles · Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

Recorded selectionOVER 0.5 · +375BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$375.00
$475.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Selection receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:27 PM EDT. Alex Bregman Alex Bregman - Player doubles: over 0.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 21.1% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-14:atlanta-braves:chicago-cubs
player-prop:alex-bregman-player-doubles:game:alex-bregman
Selection: over:0.5

· Current board API ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 7:40 PM EDT

Austin Riley

Austin Riley - Player doubles · Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

Recorded selectionOVER 0.5 · +425BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$425.00
$525.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Selection receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:27 PM EDT. Austin Riley Austin Riley - Player doubles: over 0.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 19.0% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-14:atlanta-braves:chicago-cubs
player-prop:austin-riley-player-doubles:game:austin-riley
Selection: over:0.5

· Current board API ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 7:40 PM EDT

Carson Kelly

Carson Kelly - Player doubles · Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

Recorded selectionOVER 0.5 · +450BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$450.00
$550.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Selection receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:27 PM EDT. Carson Kelly Carson Kelly - Player doubles: over 0.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 18.2% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-14:atlanta-braves:chicago-cubs
player-prop:carson-kelly-player-doubles:game:carson-kelly
Selection: over:0.5

· Current board API ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 7:40 PM EDT

Drake Baldwin

Drake Baldwin - Player doubles · Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

Recorded selectionOVER 0.5 · +425BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$425.00
$525.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Selection receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:27 PM EDT. Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin - Player doubles: over 0.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 19.0% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-14:atlanta-braves:chicago-cubs
player-prop:drake-baldwin-player-doubles:game:drake-baldwin
Selection: over:0.5

· Current board API ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 7:40 PM EDT

Ha-Seong Kim

Ha-Seong Kim - Player doubles · Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

Recorded selectionOVER 0.5 · +500BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$500.00
$600.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Selection receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:27 PM EDT. Ha-Seong Kim Ha-Seong Kim - Player doubles: over 0.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 16.7% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-14:atlanta-braves:chicago-cubs
player-prop:ha-seong-kim-player-doubles:game:ha-seong-kim
Selection: over:0.5

· Current board API ↗

MLB · Sep 14, 7:40 PM EDT

Ian Happ

Ian Happ - Player doubles · Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

Recorded selectionOVER 0.5 · +425BetMGM · market-ranked

PASS · ungraded

If win: +$425.00
$525.00 returned
If loss: −$100

Selection receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:27 PM EDT. Ian Happ Ian Happ - Player doubles: over 0.5 is the primary non-alternate line at BetMGM and requires 19.0% break-even. It ranks on fresh price quality and executable availability; 1 book currently carries the exact line. This is not a verified model edge.

mlb:2026-09-14:atlanta-braves:chicago-cubs
player-prop:ian-happ-player-doubles:game:ian-happ
Selection: over:0.5

· Current board API ↗

September 7–13 · America/New_York

Reconstructed forecast check.

Retrospective winner forecasts: 89.04%. This sample is separate from the actual-pick record and has no betting P/L. 65 correct, 8 incorrect, 0 ties and 0 unresolved in the matched sample. Wins and losses both stay visible. Scores sourced from ESPN on Sep 14, 6:37 PM EDT.

Download the dated record ↗

Sep 7, 7:30 PM EDT

SMU Mustangs at Florida State Seminoles

Final: 27 – 24

Winner forecastSMU Mustangs54.87% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 7, 6:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 7, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_2776c38de8c2b733

PASS — an execution quote plus paired prices from at least two other books are required for a target-book-excluded market prior; there is also no complete historical closing-moneyline price archive for vig-adjusted ROI.

Sep 11, 7:00 PM EDT

Richmond Spiders at NC State Wolfpack

Final: 0 – 73

Winner forecastNC State Wolfpack96.01% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 11, 6:22 PM EDT. Model run Sep 11, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_a8f58e87f58acb25

Sep 11, 7:30 PM EDT

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Boston College Eagles

Final: 21 – 28

Winner forecastBoston College Eagles62.20% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 11, 6:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 11, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_0c3ee97f8a1d69e1

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 11, 8:00 PM EDT

Final: 3 – 87

Winner forecastJames Madison Dukes99.22% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 11:00 AM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_07d59bd17b689f0c

Sep 12, 12:00 PM EDT

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at Liberty Flames

Final: 23 – 24

Winner forecastLiberty Flames92.54% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 11:00 AM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_4d0117dda230d67e

PASS — ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor estimates 7.5% to win, but no complete historical closing-moneyline price archive exists for a vig-adjusted ROI test. Research watchlist only.

Sep 12, 12:45 PM EDT

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Georgia Bulldogs

Final: 20 – 70

Winner forecastGeorgia Bulldogs99.17% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 11:45 AM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_f8a015c53515ca0e

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 12, 1:00 PM EDT

Final: 45 – 17

Winner forecastAlabama Crimson Tide84.57% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_9ffc6d1a153cd042

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Final: 38 – 13

Winner forecastMississippi State Bulldogs60.96% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_923f57c787e9ef0e

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

Weber State Wildcats at Colorado Buffaloes

Final: 21 – 52

Winner forecastColorado Buffaloes97.94% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_e7ac52af8cd171ef

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

UCF Knights at Pittsburgh Panthers

Final: 7 – 12

Winner forecastPittsburgh Panthers76.16% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:31 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_333fe6015b79bf27

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

Arizona Wildcats at BYU Cougars

Final: 17 – 28

Winner forecastBYU Cougars76.75% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_e3123db9670ed403

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

California Golden Bears at Syracuse Orange

Final: 21 – 18

Winner forecastSyracuse Orange79.66% model probability

IncorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_b4e773b1eb3f7371

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

Duke Blue Devils at Illinois Fighting Illini

Final: 31 – 27

Winner forecastIllinois Fighting Illini61.43% model probability

IncorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_90b9fa3ae2223c84

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Michigan State Spartans

Final: 7 – 35

Winner forecastMichigan State Spartans91.02% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_627a80bbdc814808

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

Maryland Terrapins at UConn Huskies

Final: 38 – 14

Winner forecastMaryland Terrapins73.63% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_f13f877b72815484

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

Utah State Aggies at Washington Huskies

Final: 14 – 16

Winner forecastWashington Huskies94.05% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_4ecedd3d41939d18

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

Rice Owls at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Final: 0 – 52

Winner forecastNotre Dame Fighting Irish99.44% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_b0d4544bcf2e88a8

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

UTSA Roadrunners at Texas State Bobcats

Final: 31 – 26

Winner forecastUTSA Roadrunners56.75% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_ceb5b19103818a93

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

UL Monroe Warhawks at UAB Blazers

Final: 20 – 26

Winner forecastUAB Blazers81.83% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_d215241b1f93f206

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

Robert Morris Colonials at Akron Zips

Final: 10 – 45

Winner forecastAkron Zips94.04% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_44b71ec00f17bb13

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

Central Connecticut Blue Devils at Toledo Rockets

Final: 10 – 63

Winner forecastToledo Rockets98.44% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_9ac72f7607ae69c6

Sep 12, 3:30 PM EDT

Sacred Heart Pioneers at Massachusetts Minutemen

Final: 10 – 37

Winner forecastMassachusetts Minutemen94.75% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_6657f2d51321c510

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 12, 3:45 PM EDT

Final: 26 – 35

Winner forecastVanderbilt Commodores85.77% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 3:15 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_3ef944b181596b19

Sep 12, 6:00 PM EDT

Memphis Tigers at Boise State Broncos

Final: 20 – 38

Winner forecastBoise State Broncos75.68% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 5:00 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_5053b19e311ff095

PASS — ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor estimates 75.7% to win, but no complete historical closing-moneyline price archive exists for a vig-adjusted ROI test. Research watchlist only.

Sep 12, 6:00 PM EDT

Buffalo Bulls at Florida International Panthers

Final: 20 – 33

Winner forecastFlorida International Panthers55.48% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 5:00 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_ebc74eb4e2495df4

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 12, 6:00 PM EDT

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Ohio Bobcats

Final: 27 – 29

Winner forecastOhio Bobcats57.16% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 5:00 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_3f739fd4ed05dc9d

PASS — ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor estimates 57.2% to win, but no complete historical closing-moneyline price archive exists for a vig-adjusted ROI test. Research watchlist only.

Sep 12, 6:30 PM EDT

Monmouth Hawks at Western Michigan Broncos

Final: 14 – 49

Winner forecastWestern Michigan Broncos96.08% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 5:32 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_7ea3bfdacb42426a

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 12, 7:00 PM EDT

Tennessee Volunteers at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Final: 45 – 24

Winner forecastTennessee Volunteers76.34% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:00 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_f57e1575cbd4a575

PASS — ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor estimates 23.7% to win, but no complete historical closing-moneyline price archive exists for a vig-adjusted ROI test. Research watchlist only.

Sep 12, 7:00 PM EDT

Final: 7 – 52

Winner forecastArkansas State Red Wolves91.44% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:00 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_7d4052efeaaa213f

Sep 12, 7:00 PM EDT

Georgia State Panthers at Kennesaw State Owls

Final: 31 – 17

Winner forecastKennesaw State Owls75.60% model probability

IncorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:00 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_441a3a8afc3d8ba1

PASS — ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor estimates 75.6% to win, but no complete historical closing-moneyline price archive exists for a vig-adjusted ROI test. Research watchlist only.

Sep 12, 7:00 PM EDT

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Marshall Thundering Herd

Final: 26 – 28

Winner forecastMarshall Thundering Herd62.05% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:00 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_38e0735a1f3457f7

PASS — ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor estimates 38.0% to win, but no complete historical closing-moneyline price archive exists for a vig-adjusted ROI test. Research watchlist only.

Sep 12, 7:00 PM EDT

Lindenwood Lions at Missouri State Bears

Final: 14 – 48

Winner forecastMissouri State Bears89.02% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:00 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_31eb767f4649c8b6

PASS — ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor estimates 89.0% to win, but no complete historical closing-moneyline price archive exists for a vig-adjusted ROI test. Research watchlist only.

Sep 12, 7:15 PM EDT

San Diego State Aztecs at UCLA Bruins

Final: 10 – 28

Winner forecastUCLA Bruins67.18% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:15 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_3f844050a82a9273

PASS — ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor estimates 32.8% to win, but no complete historical closing-moneyline price archive exists for a vig-adjusted ROI test. Research watchlist only.

Sep 12, 7:30 PM EDT

Ohio State Buckeyes at Texas Longhorns

Final: 23 – 24

Winner forecastTexas Longhorns59.69% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_11aa665005fe9ff2

Sep 12, 7:30 PM EDT

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oregon State Beavers

Final: 35 – 24

Winner forecastTexas Tech Red Raiders94.02% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_7485767a1b073873

Sep 12, 7:30 PM EDT

Iowa State Cyclones at Iowa Hawkeyes

Final: 13 – 16

Winner forecastIowa Hawkeyes84.62% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_d2a680d215076a59

Sep 12, 7:30 PM EDT

Navy Midshipmen at Florida Atlantic Owls

Final: 30 – 38

Winner forecastNavy Midshipmen81.24% model probability

IncorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_fd92897040b28b01

Sep 12, 7:30 PM EDT

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at LSU Tigers

Final: 14 – 45

Winner forecastLSU Tigers98.24% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_bd804689cd66e7ce

Sep 12, 7:30 PM EDT

Fordham Rams at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Final: 7 – 45

Winner forecastCoastal Carolina Chanticleers96.58% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_7baad18b2f55dc66

Sep 12, 7:45 PM EDT

Charlotte 49ers at Ole Miss Rebels

Final: 9 – 41

Winner forecastOle Miss Rebels98.72% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 6:45 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_19ae567d292eb43c

Sep 12, 8:00 PM EDT

Grambling Tigers at TCU Horned Frogs

Final: 7 – 63

Winner forecastTCU Horned Frogs99.35% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 7:02 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_f21cb9c39de2175a

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 12, 9:00 PM EDT

Cal Poly Mustangs at San José State Spartans

Final: 20 – 30

Winner forecastSan José State Spartans91.35% model probability

CorrectFinal score source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 12, 8:01 PM EDT. Model run Sep 12, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_e86c7c384bc4339e

Sep 12, 9:00 PM EDT

A frozen college football research outlook as of Sep 14, 6:37 PM EDT. Each forecast shows its original observation time; some are more than 12 hours old. Open live research for current prices and inputs. No activated betting recommendations.

Open live research ↗

Sep 17, 7:30 PM EDT

Syracuse Orange at Pittsburgh Panthers

Winner forecastPittsburgh Panthers82.45% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 6:36 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_c47a668f245c81da

Sep 18, 8:00 PM EDT

Houston Cougars at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Winner forecastTexas Tech Red Raiders75.71% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 5:37 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_fb03469bf3f133a2

Sep 19, 11:30 AM EDT

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Delaware Blue Hens

Winner forecastDelaware Blue Hens73.26% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 1:34 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_f6353562cf220af4

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 19, 12:00 PM EDT

Georgia Bulldogs at Arkansas Razorbacks

Winner forecastGeorgia Bulldogs96.05% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 4:53 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_865dbc1df3a571bd

Sep 19, 12:00 PM EDT

Tulane Green Wave at Kansas State Wildcats

Winner forecastKansas State Wildcats85.35% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 1:35 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_767a9437f544e862

Sep 19, 12:00 PM EDT

Bowling Green Falcons at Iowa State Cyclones

Winner forecastIowa State Cyclones94.08% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 2:30 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_7f43a1a3fb8cec78

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 19, 12:00 PM EDT

Arizona State Sun Devils at Kansas Jayhawks

Winner forecastArizona State Sun Devils53.53% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 4:53 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_c7949e790604891b

Sep 19, 12:00 PM EDT

Mercer Bears at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Winner forecastGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets92.78% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 1:45 AM EDT. Model run Sep 13, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_9e37b1fc46d43c17

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 19, 12:00 PM EDT

North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson Tigers

Winner forecastClemson Tigers53.27% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 1:35 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_cbe08a2b8a36f07e

Sep 19, 12:00 PM EDT

Akron Zips at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Winner forecastMinnesota Golden Gophers89.07% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 1:35 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_877acc4059884284

Sep 19, 12:00 PM EDT

Buffalo Bulls at Penn State Nittany Lions

Winner forecastPenn State Nittany Lions98.33% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:17 AM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_723f40c71dbd5e36

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 19, 12:00 PM EDT

North Texas Mean Green at Texas State Bobcats

Winner forecastNorth Texas Mean Green70.34% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 4:53 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_7f8ed278a8da2ca9

Sep 19, 12:30 PM EDT

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Wisconsin Badgers

Winner forecastWisconsin Badgers94.29% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 2:23 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_364c54d61c3d2aac

Sep 19, 12:45 PM EDT

NC State Wolfpack at Vanderbilt Commodores

Winner forecastVanderbilt Commodores69.09% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 1:34 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_ce38a28e9b2eef68

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 19, 1:00 PM EDT

Winner forecastToledo Rockets69.53% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 1:35 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_e7b8bc7fcfb63df6

Sep 19, 3:30 PM EDT

Florida State Seminoles at Alabama Crimson Tide

Winner forecastAlabama Crimson Tide88.91% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 6:36 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_cd7e6b20e05d672e

Sep 19, 3:30 PM EDT

Winner forecastDuke Blue Devils85.82% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 5:50 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_854f3630dec7edb1

Sep 19, 4:00 PM EDT

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Indiana Hoosiers

Winner forecastIndiana Hoosiers99.39% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 7:17 AM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_eb7af2e440fa1a48

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 19, 4:00 PM EDT

Northern Iowa Panthers at Iowa Hawkeyes

Winner forecastIowa Hawkeyes97.53% model probability

Marshall Thundering Herd at Missouri State Bears

Winner forecastMissouri State Bears63.42% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 4:53 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_acc13cb11b3a0360

Sep 19, 7:00 PM EDT

Florida Gators at Auburn Tigers

Winner forecastAuburn Tigers50.18% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 6:08 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_6076181d0bcf4b56

PASS — ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor estimates 50.2% to win, but no complete historical closing-moneyline price archive exists for a vig-adjusted ROI test. Research watchlist only.

Sep 19, 7:00 PM EDT

Troy Trojans at Missouri Tigers

Winner forecastMissouri Tigers94.99% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 4:53 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_e31e758e2da908f8

Sep 19, 7:00 PM EDT

Winner forecastWestern Michigan Broncos82.42% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 1:35 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_7ed22feef63c5756

Sep 19, 7:00 PM EDT

Delaware State Hornets at South Florida Bulls

Winner forecastSouth Florida Bulls98.89% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 11:51 AM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_72caf11cb405af69

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 19, 7:00 PM EDT

Nevada Wolf Pack at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Winner forecastNevada Wolf Pack69.01% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 2:52 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_d26cd4e6408bbd3c

Sep 19, 7:00 PM EDT

Ohio Bobcats at South Alabama Jaguars

Winner forecastSouth Alabama Jaguars62.50% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 4:53 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_294352556e954f44

Sep 19, 7:00 PM EDT

UAB Blazers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Winner forecastLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns83.59% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 4:53 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_5b84736b26491c0a

Sep 19, 10:00 PM EDT

South Dakota Coyotes at Boise State Broncos

Winner forecastBoise State Broncos94.03% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 4:51 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_ebf6077de3444ee6

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 19, 10:00 PM EDT

Winner forecastUCLA Bruins80.02% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 1:35 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_5d217336bb4d6cf1

Sep 19, 11:00 PM EDT

Montana Grizzlies at Oregon State Beavers

Winner forecastOregon State Beavers78.79% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 5:45 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_eb70496843ca46dd

PASS — one book cannot establish a cross-book price comparison or validate the best available price.

Sep 19, 11:00 PM EDT

Fresno State Bulldogs at San José State Spartans

Winner forecastFresno State Bulldogs72.98% model probability

Research · PASSGame source ↗

Forecast receipt

Observed Sep 14, 6:12 PM EDT. Model run Sep 14, 7:00 AM EDT. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor. Recorded decision: PASS (research-only).

decision_bc6862e0a2dbbb99

Source notes & coverage

A record you can inspect.

Sample. NCAAF full-game moneyline research observations with an archived ESPN model probability. The week runs Monday through Sunday in America/New_York. The quoted game-board observations above cover other leagues separately; they are not independent model forecasts or settled results.
Last week’s selection rule. Use the first eligible research observation from 60 through 15 minutes before ESPN’s scheduled kickoff, inclusive. Match both team identities and start time, then merge provider aliases into one ESPN game. This rule was selected retrospectively before grading; the report is not a pre-registered published-pick record.
Winner forecast. Choose the team with model probability above 50%. If the archived selected side is below 50%, its opponent receives the complementary probability. A 50% forecast is excluded from the accuracy denominator. This is separate from the archive’s betting decision, which remains PASS.
Calculation. 65 ÷ (65 + 8) × 100 = 89.04%. Ties, unresolved results and no-prediction rows are excluded. This winner-only accuracy has no odds adjustment and does not show profit, spread coverage or a proven betting edge.
Coverage limits. 141 candidate receipts became 73 games after merging 60 duplicate aliases and excluding 8 receipts with unmatched kickoff timing or chronology. Not every game had an eligible observation. Archive timestamps are snapshot observation times, not proof of earlier public publication. Repeat states within a horizon can be deduplicated, so this is not a reconstructed closing line.
This week. 118 candidate receipts became 68 upcoming games after alias merging. Use the latest eligible recorded observation at the edition cutoff. This dated edition stays frozen after publication; game starts, injuries and probabilities can change.
Sources. ESPN College Football Matchup Predictor and ESPN scoreboards, matched to BL Sports’ pregame observation archive. Model run and calibration cutoff dates were checked to precede the observation. Inspect the per-game archive IDs, dates and source links.

Keep researching

Put the forecast beside the price.

Compare the live board, inspect source freshness, and open the fantasy draft room.

Open BL Sports →

The weekly picks.Show the receipts.

If each pick had a $100 stake.

Game lines. A $100 stake on each.

Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans

Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Green Bay Packers at New York Jets

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens

Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

Arizona State Sun Devils at Kansas Jayhawks

Mississippi State Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks

East Carolina Pirates at Old Dominion Monarchs

Georgia Southern Eagles at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Nevada Wolf Pack at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

UConn Huskies at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

BYU Cougars at Colorado State Rams

LSU Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels

Virginia Tech Hokies at Maryland Terrapins

West Virginia Mountaineers at Virginia Cavaliers

Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks

Philadelphia Phillies (C Sanchez) at Washington Nationals (J Kent)

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels

Atlanta Braves (M Perez) at Chicago Cubs (K Gausman)

Milwaukee Brewers (J Misiorowski) at Pittsburgh Pirates (L Bachar)

Athletics (J Perkins) at Tampa Bay Rays (G Jax)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Y Yamamoto) at Cincinnati Reds (R Lowder)

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies

Chicago White Sox (D Martin) at Cleveland Guardians (F Griffin)

Baltimore Orioles (S Baz) at New York Mets (S Manaea)

Washington Mystics at Chicago Sky

Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm

Phoenix Mercury at Portland Fire

Los Angeles Sparks at Dallas Wings

Indiana Fever at Toronto Tempo

New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx

Portland Fire at Golden State Valkyries

Connecticut Sun at Atlanta Dream

Washington Mystics at Chicago Sky

Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm

Player props, exact sides and prices.

Sean Murphy

Michael Conforto

David Peterson

Reynaldo Lopez

Alex Bregman

Austin Riley

Carson Kelly

Drake Baldwin

Ha-Seong Kim

Ian Happ

Reconstructed forecast check.

SMU Mustangs at Florida State Seminoles

Richmond Spiders at NC State Wolfpack

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Boston College Eagles

Missouri Tigers at Kansas Jayhawks

Oklahoma Sooners at Michigan Wolverines

Arizona State Sun Devils at Texas A&M Aggies

Washington State Cougars at Kansas State Wildcats

East Tennessee State Buccaneers at North Carolina Tar Heels

Old Dominion Monarchs at Virginia Tech Hokies

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Purdue Boilermakers

Penn State Nittany Lions at Temple Owls

South Florida Bulls at Army Black Knights

Wofford Terriers at Kent State Golden Flashes

Wagner Seahawks at James Madison Dukes

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at Liberty Flames

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Georgia Bulldogs

UT Martin Skyhawks at West Virginia Mountaineers

Colgate Raiders at Central Michigan Chippewas

Holy Cross Crusaders at Miami (OH) RedHawks

Stony Brook Seawolves at Ball State Cardinals

Alabama Crimson Tide at Kentucky Wildcats

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Weber State Wildcats at Colorado Buffaloes

UCF Knights at Pittsburgh Panthers

Arizona Wildcats at BYU Cougars

The weekly picks.
Show the receipts.