The resource library

Sports research reference

Understand prices, evidence and evaluation methods before drawing conclusions from a sports model.

Six practical guides · Three topics · Updated September 17, 2026

Convert prices, compare equivalent markets and account for the bookmaker margin.

Separate a live price from a forecast and a forecast from a tested advantage.

Keep records and test methods without rewriting the past after seeing results.

Choose a guide

Read a market

Translate a price into the win rate required before costs or limits.

Read a market

Check the event, line, period and timestamp before comparing prices.

Evaluate evidence

See why implied probabilities can add up to more than 100%.

Evaluate evidence

Distinguish market availability, research ranking and validated predictive evidence.

Review decisions

Recreate what could have been known when each decision was made.

Review decisions

Record decisions before results so the review remains reproducible.